Evaluator NTG Recommendations for 2020

SAG holds annual teleconference meetings to review recommended Net-to-Gross (NTG) values prepared by independent evaluators and reach agreement on NTG values for the next program year. SAG NTG discussions for the program year beginning on January 1, 2020 were held in September 2019. Consensus was reached on all NTG ratios for the 2020 program year on September 27, 2019. See below for final NTG ratio documents.

Final NTG Ratios for January 1, 2020

Supplemental NTG Ratios

Background

  • See Policy Manual Version 1.1, Section 7.2 (Net-to-Gross Policy) for additional information on this process. Excerpted language from the Policy Manual:
  • Net-to-Gross (NTG) Ratio means a factor representing net savings divided by gross savings that is applied to gross impacts to convert them into net impacts. The factor itself may be made up of a variety of factors that create differences between gross and net savings, commonly including Free Riders and Spillover. The factor can be estimated and applied separately to either energy or demand savings.
  • Net-to-Gross Values are produced annually by the independent evaluators, reviewed by stakeholders, and finalized by October 1 of each year. New Net-to-Gross values are prospectively effective January 1, three (3) months after they are finalized.
  • In developing the evaluators’ final recommended deemed NTG ratios, evaluators shall review SAG feedback, take into account all comments and discussions, with the intent of making their best estimate of future actual NTG ratio values for the upcoming Program Year. Evaluators shall report final deemed NTG values on or before October 1.
  • Final NTG research findings are available on the NTG Research Memos page.

September NTG Teleconference Meetings

Meeting #1: Thursday, Sept. 5 (12:30 – 3:00 pm)

Meeting #2: Friday, Sept. 6 (12:30 – 3:00 pm)

Meeting #3: Thursday, Sept. 12 (9:30 am – 12:00 pm)

Meeting #4: Friday, Sept. 20 (9:30 am – 12:00 pm)

Meeting #5: Friday, Sept. 27 (9:30 am – 12:00 pm)

Consensus Process (see Policy Manual Version 1.1):

  • The purpose of [the NTG meetings] will be for the Evaluators to present their rationale for each NTG Ratio value and provide the SAG, in their advisory role, with an opportunity to question, challenge and suggest modifications to the Evaluators’ initial recommended deemed NTG Ratios for the upcoming Program Year.
  • SAG participants, including Evaluators, shall make best efforts to reach consensus regarding NTG Ratios appropriate for deeming for the upcoming Program Year that are representative of the best estimates of future actual NTG Ratio values likely to occur for the upcoming Program Year.
  • If the SAG reaches consensus regarding an appropriate NTG Ratio to deem prior to October 1, then SAG’s consensus NTG Ratio shall be deemed for the upcoming Program Year, even if it is different from the Evaluators’ initial recommended deemed NTG Ratio.
  • If the SAG cannot reach consensus on an appropriate NTG Ratio value to deem for the upcoming Program Year prior to October 1, then the Evaluators’ final recommended deemed NTG Ratio shall be deemed, which may be different from the Evaluators’ initial recommended deemed NTG Ratio.
  • In developing the Evaluators’ final recommended deemed NTG Ratio, Evaluators shall review SAG feedback, take into account all comments and discussions, with the intent of making their best estimate of future actual NTG Ratio values for the upcoming Program Year.
  • Evaluators shall report final deemed NTG values on or before October 1.